Top 5 Red Flags When Evaluating a Real Estate Deal

Avoid Bad Deals. Protect Your Capital. Lend Smarter.

Whether you’re a seasoned private money lender or just starting out, these five warning signs can help you stay alert and lend with confidence.

1. Unrealistic After Repair Value (ARV)

If the numbers look too good to be true, they probably are.

  • Check sold comps (not just listings) within 0.5 miles and 3–6 months
  • Be wary of claims that ignore market conditions or unique property issues
  • Request an appraisal or have a trusted realtor validate projections

Quick Tip: If the ARV is inflated, everything else—from profit to return—is built on shaky ground.

2. Vague or Low Rehab Budget

When repairs are oversimplified, surprises become expensive.

  • Look for a detailed scope of work and clear labor/material estimates
  • Question round numbers or vague categories like “miscellaneous repairs”
  • Ask: Is the budget realistic for this market and property condition?

Quick Tip: Undercapitalized rehabs cause delays, disputes, and dangerous corners.

3. Inexperienced or Unprepared Borrower

Charisma isn’t a substitute for competence.

  • Ask about their track record: previous deals, mentors, partnerships
  • Review their business structure, operating plan, and risk contingency
  • See if they’ve considered permits, contractors, and timelines

Quick Tip: A great deal with an unproven operator becomes a risky experiment.

4. Weak or Missing Exit Strategy

Every deal needs an escape plan.

  • Will they sell, refinance, or hold as a rental—and what’s their backup?
  • Can they explain the timeline and buyer/lender pipeline?
  • Ask what happens if the market shifts or delays occur

Quick Tip: No clear exit means no guaranteed return. Lenders must understand how they’ll get paid.

5. High Loan-to-Value (LTV) Ratio

More leverage = more risk.

  • A healthy LTV is between 65–75%
  • Deals with 85–90%+ LTV may leave little room for error
  • Require equity injection from the borrower or cross-collateral assets

Quick Tip: Stay conservative. It’s better to miss a risky deal than lose your principal.

Bonus Section: Quick-Reference Checklist

  • Have the rehab numbers been verified?
  • Is the ARV supported by solid comps?
  • Does the borrower have experience—or a team?
  • Is there a clear exit strategy with a timeline?
  • Are you lending at a safe LTV?